My Personal Three C’s Of The Week: Controllables, Crisis, Charity
 

My older daughter Norah (2) speaks part English part “Daniel The Tiger”. Walking around our house she will randomly shout statements like, “ I don’t meow, have to meow” (we are obviously doing great as parents) or something easier on the ears like, “I love you just the way you are Daddy”.

The volatility we are seeing in the markets, as it relates to day to day swings, has not been seen since the late 1920s. Between the volatility, we are seeing in the markets and the effects of the Coronavirus socially and on local businesses, it seems like we are in for quite a ride. Today I found myself humming a timely Daniel The Tiger tune. Ultimately reminding myself to control the controllables and relax.

“Give a squeeze, nice and slow. Take a deep breath, let it go”

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Whether you are working from home right now, finishing up at your place of work or are now forced into a home school teaching role, we all have a lot of thoughts going. Here’s how I’m processing mine:

Controllables:

This can apply to how we interact with others in the world however, I’m applying it to investing. As of the close today, the S&P is down 30% off its highs with individual companies we are all familiar with down much farther.

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At our firm, we have strict rules and guidelines around rebalancing. After reading others’ research and conducting our own, rebalancing based on time (semi-annually, annually, etc.) and threshold (if a position becomes underweight or overweight compared to the rest of the portfolio) can greatly improve the risk/return characteristics of an investment strategy. It also incorporates a “buy low” “sell high” attitude and can feel like you are taking action in volatile markets while not succumbing to market timing.  Note that the use of an Investment Policy or a rebalancing policy is a must.

Lastly, rebalancing isn’t solely about buying low and selling high. Another key feature is managing your risk over long periods of time, especially if you are taking withdrawals. Michael Kitces has done multiple posts about this. The below chart tracked withdrawals over a 30 year period. You can see how during down markets the lack of rebalancing diminishes the portfolio.

Chart_WithWithoutRebal_ver3.jpg

Crisis:

A timely podcast from Patrick O’Shaunghnessy came out this week titled “Investing Through Crisis”. I wanted to be careful before using the word “crisis” in this post, but the definition seems to fit the times. The paper, written by the Dan Rasmussen the interviewee of Verdad Capital, was published in the Winter of 2019 and looks back on past periods of crisis and if there were any silver linings that could be taken from it. Here are some bullet points that I think we can help us today:

  • There is the expansion of the breadth of rational beliefs during times like this: Rasmussen goes on to point out that there is massive uncertainty around the worst-case scenarios and best scenarios and often the world can’t disprove either. This is a key metric in volatile markets.

  • Bear markets have more predictable movements than Bull markets: Human behavior (fear, worry, etc.) drive bear markets. What’s worked (the rationale behind a bull market) will vary case by case.

  • Market timing requires three unknown data points: Being correct on all three of the below data points is highly unlikely. 

    • You must decide what’s going to happen in the future

    • You must decide when to get out

    • You must decide when to get in

Charity:

I read this post that inspired me to take a step back and be grateful for what I have as opposed to what is uncertain. In Portland there are/will be many groups specifically impacted by the Coronavirus. After talking with a few local leaders, they substantiated that donating to these causes can have a profound impact:

-          Oregon Community Foundation

-          Oregon Food Bank

-          Meals on Wheels

-          American Red Cross

 

 
 

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We All Have Choices To Make
 
@soymeraki

@soymeraki

I was asked this week, "How do you make sense of how or why the market is responding the way it is?"

When something such as COVID-19 disrupts trade and travel there is less economic activity.

When there is less economic activity there are less future earnings.

When there are less future earnings there are lower stock prices.

When there are lower stock prices an investor’s account values decrease.

When an investor’s account values decrease, investors have a choice to make.

The choice to buy, sell or hold can be an incredibly difficult one to make. This is especially true when:

  • There are more zeros at the end of one's account balance.

  • An investor with a short time horizon and a need to access funds from their accounts.

  • Someone worked hard to build their account balance up to $10k and now it is worth $7.4k.

The type of investor we are is determined by the decisions that we make, especially considering our current market situation. As the esteemed American Neurologist and financial author William Bernstein puts it there are three groups of investors:

Group 1: The average small investor, who does not have a coherent asset-allocation strategy and who owns a chaotic mix of mutual funds and/or individual securities, often recommended to him or her by a broker or advisor. He or she tends to buy near bull market peaks and sell near bear market troughs.

Group 2: The more sophisticated investor, who does have a reasonable-seeming asset-allocation strategy and who will buy when prices fall a bit (“buying the dips”), but who falls victim to the aircraft simulator/actual crash paradigm, loses his or her nerve, and bails when real trouble roils the markets. You may not think you belong in this group, but unless you’ve tested yourself and passed during the 2008–2009 bear market, you really can’t tell.

Group 3: Those who do have a coherent strategy and can stick to it. Three things separate this group from Group 2: first, a realistic appraisal of their true, under-fire risk tolerance; second, an allocation to risky assets low enough, or a savings rate high enough, to allow them to financially and emotionally weather a severe downturn; and third, an appreciation of market history, particularly the carnage inflicted by the 1929–1932 bear market. In other words, this elite group possesses not only patience, cash, and courage, but also the historical knowledge informing them that at several points in their investing career, all three will prove necessary. Finally, they have the foresight to plan for those eventualities.

For most who fall into Group 1 & 2, it is not the intention that prevents someone from landing in Group 3 but rather a lack of planning and/or perspective. Having perspective can make it easier to make wise decisions, especially in the midst of chaos. I don't wish to diminish what we are experiencing with "don’t worry its all going to be ok." However, as we think about COVID-19 in historical context it's hard not to witness the ongoing resiliency of mankind and our economical system. See below for how the markets have weathered the last several years (1/1/08 - 12/31/19).

Source: First Trust Advisors L.P.

Source: First Trust Advisors L.P.

There is more to be said about resiliency when we scale back to 1900. (see below)

Source: FactSet, NBER, Robert Shiller, J.P. Morgan Asset Management.

Source: FactSet, NBER, Robert Shiller, J.P. Morgan Asset Management.

The reality is that whether your retirement timeline is near or far, most of us will be impacted in one way or another by COVID-19 and COVID-19’s impact on our global economy. We all have choices to make. If you are making decisions to protect your health look to CDC for guidance. If you are making decisions with regards to your investments, gain some perspective and talk to your financial advisor. Let us know how we can help, contact us at Human Investing or call at 503.905.3100.

“Job one for the investor, then, is to learn as best she can, to ignore the day-to-day and year-to-year speculative return in order to earn the fundamental return.” – William Bernstein

SOURCES:

Rational Expectations: Asset Allocation for Investing Adults by William Bernstein.

 

 
 

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The Last 72 Hours - What's Changed & What's Stayed The Same
 

On Monday I wrote this blog post sharing our firm's thoughts on the current state of market volatility. If you haven’t read the blog I’d highly encourage you to do so. Candidly, writing that feels like 3 months ago as opposed to 3 days ago.

What’s Changed:

  • WHO declares Coronavirus a pandemic

  • President Trump declares a travel ban in the EU

  • Many Sporting Events are canceled or postponed

  • For Oregonian’s, Governor Brown cancels events over 250 people

  • Universities and School Districts go online or close for periods of time

  • A well-known celebrity, Tom Hanks tests positive for Coronavirus

  • Lastly, the stock market has gone from being 18% off its highs on Monday to 26% off its highs as of the market close today (Thursday, March 12th). Along the way, it suffered it’s worst single-day loss since 1987.

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When speaking with a co-worker Wednesday night it seemed like there was a social tipping point for many Americans regarding the potential seriousness of the virus. It felt closer. Add in what’s happening with the price of oil and interest rates and you get the fastest move from a market high to being in a “bear market”.

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What’s Stayed The Same:

A quote I’ve been thinking about this week is, “There’s an art to taking action and an art to justifying inaction”. Another piece of information that was shared today in our office was “In volatile times like this its necessary to be more disciplined not less discipline.” The same principles still apply to being a great investor today as they did a month ago. It’s simply harder to execute when chaos is occurring around us.

As hard as is it is, most likely inaction is the best course during times of increased volatility. It’s common for some of the best days of the market to be close in close proximity to some of the worst. Here’s what happens when you miss out on some of those days.

Missing.JPG

Going to cash and getting back in when it feels better is harder than it sounds. This quote from Josh Brown a CNBC pundit and CEO of Ritholtz Wealth Management provided this perspective from March of 2009 (the bottom of the financial crisis) and what it looked like to get back in:

The great answer is that you won’t know when the dust settles. There’s no airplane writing the “all clear” in the sky above your neighborhood. And when the dust settles, do you think stocks will be at their lows? Or will they have already rallied furiously, in anticipation of this? Let me give you an example. Imagine it’s March 9th. About eleven years ago, in 2009, the stock market stopped going down. There was no reason. The dust had settled, without fanfare or any sort of official announcement. If you had polled people that day, or week or even month, most would not have agreed that we had seen the worst. The economic headlines were not improving. But there it was. And by June 12th, about 3 months later, the stock market had climbed 40% from that March low. And even with that having happened, the majority of investors still weren’t clear that the dust had fully settled.“

Market.JPG

Do you what you need to do to make it through times of increased volatility in the market. I heard the term “social distancing yourself from your 401(k)” and it provided a much-needed laugh. Having discipline and staying the course on your plan is much easier when you have a plan. Whether it’s using your own tools or entrusting a fiduciary to partner with you, knowing that you did the planning work upfront makes all the difference in when 3 days feels like 3 months.

 

 
 

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Market Volatility - The Cost of Admission
 
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I read two bite-size pieces of content last week that equally affected me:

“The whole reason stocks tend to do well over time is because they make you put up with stuff like this. It’s the cost of admission. A feature, not a bug” – Morgan Housel Collaborative Fund

“Telling people to ignore the noise is telling people not to be people” – Michael Batnick Ritholtz Wealth Management

As an advisor to families, endowments and corporate retirement plans our firm lives in the tension of these types of statements often. The ability to substantiate recommendations with facts, as opposed to noise, while recognizing each client that we work with has a unique set of circumstances hopefully validates our name Human Investing.

Our team (probably like you) is learning, reading and writing about the set of current events.  Like Housel and Batnick mention, it’s a combination of having perspective (in other words we’ve been here before) and recognizing that each time the market flirts with “correction” territory it’s a reasonable behavior to feel uncertainty.  We find the charts, statements, and questions listed below helpful when talking to clients and hope you do as well.

For most people, this is a price of admission scenario:

Today was the 17th worst day for the S&P 500.  Since 1825 the US Stock Market has returned nearly 10% per year. The below histogram does an excellent job of showing how those returns are plotted over the last 195 years. Like we mentioned above, investors do not receive excellent returns without taking on risk. Days like today are the price of admission.

histogram.png

“But this time it’s different”

You’re right this time it is different due to the speed of the market declining and the intersection of COVID-19, oil prices steeply declining and the federal reserve lowering interest rates. Not to be dismissive of the current world events, but it’s different every time. It was different during the dot com bubble and the 2008 financial crisis as well. These visuals help provide perspective regarding the current volatility we are seeing and what’s normal.

A.  Drawdowns in the market happen all the time. This current drawdown is around 18% (so far) which is slightly below the normal intra-year drawdown of nearly 14% since 1980.

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B. These charts show that while the speed of this drawdown is occurring faster than normal. The fact that we are experiencing volatility linked to world events occurs more often than we might initially think.

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“Buying into this market seems terrifying should I go to cash (or stay in cash if applicable)?”

Two scenarios come to mind:

A.  You’re fully invested right now: Market timing is rarely (most likely never) a good idea. This is where knowing yourself as an investor and the qualitative side of the equation matters as much as the data. If slightly reducing how aggressive you are will allow you to sleep at night and not press the “sell all” button then consider strategies along those lines that lead to better long term outcomes. Otherwise, stay the course.

B. You’re in cash right now and waiting for an entry point: Consider this scenario. Over the last 20 years, the worst day to invest in the S&P 500 was April 7th, 2000. As the chart below shows $10k invested then is worth around $27k today. However, it took until December of 2013 (over 13 years!) for the $10k to be made whole on the initial investment and never look back. It’s a good case study for the recent worst-case scenario of investing in stocks and more specifically investing a lump sum of cash.

Capture.PNG

What’s tomorrow, this next week, this next month have in store for investors? Carl Richards said it best, “Are you concerned about days or decades?” Investing calls for a long term approach. Let’s take a page out of Warren Buffet’s book and get back at it tomorrow.

Be fearful when others are greedy and greedy when others are fearful
— Warren Buffett
 

 
 

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Blowing up the Compensation Model
 

In our last post, we addressed the most significant anchor that is working against the financial planning industry, how it’s kept from adapting within changing market expectations, and that we need to move towards something better for clients. This anchor is the “Assets Under Management” business model that is the dominant form of revenue generation for financial advisory and wealth management firms. 

In this piece, we will highlight a related aspect of compensation but look at it from the planner/advisor perspective. In other words, our focus will be on compensation structures for planners and the role of incentives. To be sure, these two topics are interrelated and often confounded. These real and heavy anchors are keeping us from a state of optimal outcomes. Charlie Munger could not have been any more right when he said, “Show me the incentive and I’ll show you the outcome.” Let’s take a look. 

An “Agency Problem”

Before we get into compensation models, it is imperative that we identify and define a concept called an agency problem. In its simplest form, an agency problem is one that contains a conflict of interest. It is a situation when someone (called an “agent”) is entrusted to act in the best interest of another party (called a “principal”) but has interests that are different (and often competing). 

Remember that term “fiduciary?” A fiduciary standard is imposed and regulated due to the inherent agency problem that exists between the client and the financial services professional (and/or industry). To review, the CFP Board defines fiduciary through the lens of the interaction between a financial planner and a client. Its fiduciary standard of care “requires that a financial advisor act solely in the client’s best interest when offering personalized financial advice.” 

Think about that for a second

Who else’s interest would they be serving when they offer advice? The very fact that a fiduciary standard is required reveals the problematic state of the industry. It is worth repeating…we can and simply must do better! However, the business models of financial planning firms and the compensation of financial advisors are anchors that necessitate considerable and seemingly insurmountable effort to move beyond the current climate. 

So how are advisors paid? 

In a commission and fee firm (often termed a “hybrid model”), advisors are often paid based on the commissions generated on the products sold. More directly, commissions are charged to buy and/or sell a mutual fund and when selling an insurance product such as a cash-value life insurance policy or an annuity. These commissions are called gross dealer concessions (GDCs) to the brokerage firm and the advisor receives a percentage of the GDC. The percentage that the advisor receives is most often determined by their relative tier based on the volume of sales dollars, meaning that the more products sold, the higher the percentage of GDC received.

In a fee-only firm, it is common for advisors to receive a salary as well as bonuses based on a percentage of their book. That means that the more assets they manage, the greater their additional compensation. More money can be made by bringing in new clients.

So what is the dominant incentive? It is quite clear that the incentive in the former is to sell investment and insurance products, and the incentive in the latter is to build and protect their book of business. But what about the amount and quality of financial advice? What about the degree of service and attention? What about providing an unbiased perspective? These are the conflicts that exist.

Citing these conflicts is not intended to suggest that a particular individual within any of the systems above is not providing high quality financial advice and excellent client service. It is meant to clearly call out the inherent conflict of interests that exists within these compensation models. 

Conflicts everywhere

And since Charlie Munger’s quote has been proven true for decades, we would be wise to pay attention. Truly, it is the case…find the incentive and you will likely find the outcome. So what outcomes are naturally linked to these incentives? At worst, if the incentives are large bonuses that are paid for selling products that generate a (very large!) commission, the interest of the advisor is to sell as many of these products as possible. 

Selling = more $$. The interest of the client is sound, comprehensive, and objective advice and purchasing only products that best meet their needs. If the incentive is bonuses that are paid based on the volume of assets managed, the interest of the advisor is to provide advice that results in more managed assets and allocate time on only activities that build and retain assets.

More assets managed = more $$. The interest of the client is sound, comprehensive, and objective advice and purchasing only products that best meet their needs. This is not about the character or the quality of the advisor. It is simply about incentives. Incentives lead to behaviors, and behaviors lead to outcomes. Or as Peter Drucker once said, “What gets measured gets managed, and what gets managed gets done.” 

The conflicts of interest in a fee and commission model have been highlighted and bantered about for a long time. In fact, the strong movement towards a fee-only business model has been fueled by the increasing visibility of these challenges. So we would like to devote most of our time to the primary fee-only advisor compensation model which is salary plus a bonus paid on the advisor’s book of business (amount of assets managed). 

Even a fee-only structure has its limitations

This might look harmless, but there are conflicts that remain. If a large portion of compensation is determined through a percentage of the assets you manage (“your book”), the incentive is to protect the book. This means employing a time allocation method that first considers the question, “Does this activity help me build and/or maintain my book of business?” Activities that result in a “yes” response to that question are prioritized while the incentive is to minimize or eliminate activities that result in a “no” response to that question. The big problem is that many of the important services that clients are looking for do not involve activities that yield bigger books. For example, conversations around topics like financial literacy education, budgeting, debt management, benefit planning, educational funding strategies, talking through goals and values, and charitable giving rarely lead to more assets under management. So conversations are primarily directed at wealth management, retirement funding, and risk management/insurance needs at the expense of ignoring or minimizing these other vital topics. Why? Because they do not align with the incentive.

Look for comprehensive planning vs. product-focused planning

Further, for some clients the best thing they could do is to pay down debt, invest through their company’s 401(k) plan, invest in real estate, and/or engage in charitable giving. However, none of these activities builds assets under management and all of them could potentially subtract from managed assets. Again, the incentive is aligned toward advisor behaviors/advice that is contrary to the best interests of the client. Anything that takes away from the percentage bonus for the advisor is incentivized to be avoided. This dynamic is what has predominantly contributed to the difference between product-focused financial planning and truly comprehensive financial planning that we discussed several months ago and is reflected again in the graphic at the end of this post.

Truly comprehensive financial planning is such a small portion of overall financial planning due to the inherent compensation incentives. 

Finally, the fee-only compensation model helps illuminate why many individuals and families do not have access to financial planning assistance. Simply and crudely put, they are not worth the time because they do not have enough assets for the planner/advisor to manage. This client may be willing and able to pay for services, but the current compensation method does not incentivize the advisor for spending time with this client. 

Compensation methods need to change. It is not only a matter of preference. Real outcomes are at stake. We can and simply must do better! 

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Check out the rest of the series with Ryan and Marc:

  1. Financial Planning: A New Mindset

  2. Bracing Ourselves For Rough Seas Ahead

  3. Isn’t Financial Planning a Dying Profession?

  4. What Financial Planning Should Look Like

  5. How Product Sales Is Ruining Financial Planning

  6. How Business Models Created the Culture of Financial Advisory Firms

Ryan Halley, Ph.D., CFP® is Director of Planning Practices and Research at Human Investing. He holds a doctorate in Personal Financial Planning from Texas Tech University and an MBA with a concentration in Finance from The Ohio State University. Ryan has his CERTIFIED FINANCIAL PLANNER™ certification. Dr. Halley is also a Professor of Finance and Financial Planning at George Fox University, where he directs a CFP® Registered Program located near Portland, Oregon. He has co-authored a book and has numerous peer-reviewed journal articles. Additionally, he has been an invited professor and lecturer at various universities in the United States, Canada and China. 

 

 
 

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Addressing the Fear du Jour
 
@derstudi

@derstudi

The fear du jour is COVID-19, also known as the Coronavirus.  Each of us has a lot to be concerned about, particularly given the uncertainty of epidemics and even pandemics—couple this with volumes of misinformation and fear stoked by the media. Outbreaks of infectious diseases have consistently occurred over the past century; names like Spanish Flu, Asian Flu, Hong Kong Flu, SARS, Swine Flu, Ebola, Zika, and Dengue are just a few. Although unnerving and cause for concern, we are still here today functioning, producing, consuming, and living life. 

For the investment community, the concern is less about the loss of life and more about productivity, consumer spending, and growth. With consumer spending in the U.S. making up approximately 70% of GDP, the concerns of an economic slowdown are valid. Important for market participants is the material impact of the slowdown due to a lack of spending.  At the same time, furloughed workers and canceled events may harm a company’s ability to make money. Regardless of the situation, company earnings may potentially go down due to the widespread impact of COVID-19—and with it, their stock price often follows. 

YOUR FINANCIAL PLAN PREPARES YOU FOR THE UNEXPECTED

It is important to note that these are the current events; we are just reporting the news as we know it today. A financial plan, constructed by a Certified Financial Planning Professional or CFP®, considers the market impact of pandemics, wars, natural disasters, and the like. These situations, although not explicitly named in the financial planning calculations, are implied in the battery of historical market performance tests (called Monte Carlo Simulations). As such, those with a plan (investment, retirement, etc.) should stick to the plan. Now is not the time to go and make drastic changes. As one Human Investing client put it, “Now is when everyone needs a plan and partners they trust to achieve it.”

The worst days of the market may be ahead. Alternatively, the market could bounce tomorrow and be back on track for another stellar year. This is why during volatile times we look to the thoughtfully developed plans we created alongside our clients. In times such as these, we are grateful for each of our clients who have placed their trust in our firm over the last 15 years, and we look forward to connecting with you soon.

Sincerely,

Peter Fisher

 

 
 

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How Business Models Created The Culture of Financial Advisory Firms
 
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Why not just make the necessary changes to correct what’s broken? 

At this point in our blog series, you might be asking yourself the question, “If things are so bad with the current state of financial planning, why not just make the necessary changes to correct what’s broken?” That is a logical conclusion, but while the problems are obvious, the solutions are challenging (possibly a little like some of the political debate topics you will be hearing for the next few months!). 

There are two real challenges here

One that we have already mentioned: nothing big is wrong. It is a host of smaller pieces that are broken, and those small pieces accumulate into a perception of confusion and mistrust and suboptimal financial planning outcomes.

A second challenge is that the core problems are so deeply rooted in the culture and systems that make up the industry that even obvious needed changes are difficult to address. It is the proverbial turning of the Titanic, if you will. So, a better place to begin might be defining the culture through the lens of how we arrived at where we are currently and identifying some of the elements of the culture that make it so sticky and unwieldy. 

As forecasted last time, there are many weighty systemic issues woven into the culture of financial services that make this move to a better model extremely difficult. These are true anchors working against a migration to something better. In this piece, we are going to start at the top and take a look at the business model of most financial planning firms and set the stage for why things are as they are. 

How financial services make money

As we have discussed, the financial planning profession has its roots in investment services and the insurance industry. Firms make money largely be selling either investment products (stocks, bonds, mutual funds, real estate trusts, options, etc.) or insurance products (whole life, variable life, annuities, etc.). 

Each of these products are sold with a commission and the firm makes money with each product sold. It is quite possible that a firm gets paid $10,000, $15,000 or even $20,000 or more for selling one variable annuity product. So, as you can imagine, this system is full of agency problems or conflicts of interest and has brought about many pieces of regulation to try to control these built-in conflicts. Selling products often comes at the expense of offering services. 

It is for this reason that we ended our last post talking about “fiduciary.” Fiduciary is a legal requirement imposed to make sure that planners/advisors are acting in a way that is in the client’s best interest. And, as we asked last time, who else’s interest would they be serving when they offer advice?

The very fact that a fiduciary standard is required reveals the problematic state of the industry 

This problem and others have led to a slow migration to other business models. Improvement. The commission-only paradigm began to change into a business model that is comprised of both fees for service and commission on products. This has further extended into a model where revenue comes exclusively from fees, with no commissioned products being sold. In fact, the CFP Board recognizes three different categories of compensation for planners:

  • Commission only

  • Commission and fee

  • Fee only

In order to be considered a fee-only advisor (or firm), no commissioned products can be sold. The CFP Board has defined the term “fee only” in the following way: “A certificant may describe his or her practice as “fee-only” if, and only if, all of the certificant’s compensation from all of his or her client work comes exclusively from the clients in the form of fixed, flat, hourly, percentage or performance-based fees.” 

While the definition might seem to align with what you would expect of a fee-for-service relationship, the dominate model looks much different. Instead of being paid to produce a financial plan or paid on an hourly basis, the vast majority of financial planning firms generate most of their revenue through what is called an “assets under management” (AUM) model.

WHAT THE ASSETS-UNDER-MANAGEMENT model MISSES

There are planners who do hourly work or charge by the plan, but that is the extreme minority of revenue dollars produced. The assets under management model assigns a percentage fee to the client assets that are managed by the firm. The more assets managed, the more money made. It is typical for the amount charged to be on a sliding scale so that the percentage applied to assets goes down if you hit certain targets. For example, if a firm charges 1.25% of AUM for assets under $1 million and 1.00% of AUM for assets over $1 million, a client with $500,000 invested would pay $6,250 for the year. A similar fee structure would be used to calculate annual fees during each future year. If the client had $3,000,000 invested, that client would pay $30,000 annually. 

There is nothing inherently wrong with this model, but it does explain why most financial planning firms look like investment service firm silos, or what we have termed “product-focused financial planning.” Other services can be offered and truly comprehensive financial planning can be conducted, but it is most often done without direct compensation. In other words, you are not paid for it. This is the largest and heaviest anchor working against a change from a culture of product-focused financial planning to truly comprehensive financial planning. 

The incentives are stacked too heavily towards products and wealth management. In order to change the incentive, the entire business model would need to change. And as you can imagine, that is a big ask. The more hidden cost is one of being stuck—of knowing what would and could be better, but experiencing the seemingly impossible task of getting there. In life, the one thing more frustrating than not knowing or being able to figure something out is the ability to observe, understand and know what needs to happen but not being able to do anything about it.

Associated costs are a continued and mired state of public distrust, a ridiculous amount of regulation and required disclosure, an opaque world in which terms like “advisor” and “planner” are almost impossible to decipher, and ultimately failing to offer the community the entirety of what they need… truly comprehensive financial planning. 

Check out the rest of the series with Ryan and Marc:

  1. Financial Planning: A New Mindset

  2. Bracing Ourselves For Rough Seas Ahead

  3. Isn’t Financial Planning a Dying Profession?

  4. What Financial Planning Should Look Like

  5. How Product Sales Is Ruining Financial Planning

 

 

Want to talk about your financial plan?
Want to learn more?
Come talk to us or e-mail Jill at jill@humaninvesting.com.

Ryan Halley, Ph.D., CFP® is Director of Planning Practices and Research at Human Investing. He holds a doctorate in Personal Financial Planning from Texas Tech University and an MBA with a concentration in Finance from The Ohio State University. Ryan has his CERTIFIED FINANCIAL PLANNER™ certification. Dr. Halley is also a Professor of Finance and Financial Planning at George Fox University, where he directs a CFP® Registered Program located near Portland, Oregon. He has co-authored a book and has numerous peer-reviewed journal articles. Additionally, he has been an invited professor and lecturer at various universities in the United States, Canada and China. 

 

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2020 Contribution Limits
 

As 2019 is coming to an end, your team at Human Investing is wishing you a Happy New Year! We hope that you have a healthy and prosperous 2020.

Since 2020 is just around the corner, we would like to share some updates on the contribution limits applicable for the new year.

The IRS has posted the following updates:

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Our team at Human Investing is here to help ensure you are maximizing your retirement savings. Please do not hesitate to contact us if you have any questions. Click here to be directed to the IRS website for further information.   

 
 
 

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How Product Sales is Ruining Financial Planning
 
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In our last several posts, we have been highlighting the necessary distinction between truly comprehensive financial planning and product-focused financial planning. We deem it necessary because the term financial planning is often wrongly used, which comes at the client’s expense. The term financial planning is regularly used to represent what is solely product-focused financial planning. We proposed that we are largely stuck in an industry of confusion, and we are having a difficult time moving on from this place. There are apparent yet opaque reasons as to why this is the case. These are contained within an earlier list of systemic factors we cited which have impaired financial planning outcomes and distorted the way in which financial planning is done. 

Let’s return to the medical analogy. Imagine being a patient with an illness

A patient would never want to go to a doctor who has a drug or pill already identified and evaluates the condition of the patient by searching for ways to use that drug or pill to treat the patient. Instead, a patient would want a doctor who evaluates the medical situation with an unbiased lens and only uses a drug or pill if it is the most effective way to treat the identified condition. Isn’t that the way you would want your financial life approached as well – to have someone look over your entire financial picture (including your values, goals, dreams, concerns, fears, etc.) and advise from that perspective instead of looking for a way to sell a financial product?

Within the medical context, think about what may be missed and how often the product (drug) would be the wrong form of treatment! The patient is seeking a service, not a product. The product is a potential outcome of the service, but it is not what the patient or client pursues. If so clearly a problem within a medical context (or almost any other professional context), why does this phenomenon of product sales disguised as financial planning remain so apparent within the financial services industry? Sure, financial products (insurance and investments) will be part of most financial plans; however, they should only be used when designed to meet a specific need identified through a comprehensive and unbiased financial planning process. If the product (drug) comes at the expense of a comprehensive evaluation, it compromises the best interest of the patient…or, in this case, the client. 

Why is this happening?

It is the tethering of product sales and commissions to a "financial plan" which is at the core of the challenge. This persistent culture of product sales paraded around as financial planning is a systemic issue. The prevailing practice and system around “financial planning” has weakened the full potential of the financial planning profession. Tragically, for clients, this dislocation has weakened outcomes for the humans we are attempting to serve humanely. The focus needs to be directed squarely on service, not products. While this right move seems obvious, there are many weighty systemic issues woven into the culture of financial services that make this move extremely difficult. The list below identifies the most significant anchors working against a migration to something better, and we are going to use upcoming posts to focus specifically on each of these: 

  • Business models of financial planning firms 

  • Compensation structure for planners 

  • Role of incentives 

  • Career status and prestige based solely on sales achievements 

  • Measures of success and effectiveness tied to a book of business 

  • Conflicts of interest that are not transparent 

  • Academic preparation, credentialing, and pathway to a profession in financial planning 

There is much talk in the financial services industry about the term and concept of “fiduciary.” Besides being an odd word and slightly fun to say, what is it? The CFP Board defines fiduciary through the lens of the interaction between a financial planner and a client. Its fiduciary standard of care “requires that a financial adviser act solely in the client’s best interest when offering personalized financial advice.” Think about that for a second. Who else’s interest would they be serving when they offer advice? The very fact that a fiduciary standard is required reveals the problematic state of the industry. We can and simply must do better. 

Ryan Halley, Ph.D., CFP® is Director of Planning Practices and Research at Human Investing. He holds a doctorate in Personal Financial Planning from Texas Tech University and an MBA with a concentration in Finance from The Ohio State University. Ryan has his CERTIFIED FINANCIAL PLANNER™ certification. Dr. Halley is also a Professor of Finance and Financial Planning at George Fox University, where he directs a CFP® Registered Program located near Portland, Oregon. He has co-authored a book and has numerous peer-reviewed journal articles. Additionally, he has been an invited professor and lecturer at various universities in the United States, Canada and China. 

 

 
 

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Charitable Gifting at Nike - Maximizing the Nike Donation Match & Lowering Taxes
 
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As we approach the end of 2019, a common topic for discussion with our Nike clients is around planning for charitable contributions.  Nike employees have many factors to consider if they are hoping to maximize both the Nike Donation Match program and the tax benefits of charitable contributions.

MAXIMIZING THE NIKE DONATION MATCH PROGRAM

In order to maximize the impact to your chosen charity, the first step is to find out if it is qualified for a match.  To check the qualified donation match list, simply log into the Nike Give Your Best website: https://nike.benevity.org/user/login.

Next, consider the matching rules and limitations outlined below.

Nike Donation Match Details:

  • Dollar-for-dollar match for charities on the qualifying list

  • Double match for donations to charities aimed at youth sports 

  • Maximum donation match of $10,000 per calendar year

  • Grant of $10/hour for volunteer hours up to a maximum of $1,000/year

Additionally, Nike has participated in Giving Tuesday, which was Tuesday, December 3rd this year.  If you make donations on Giving Tuesday, Nike will make a double match on all qualifying charities.  Thus, planning to make your donations on Giving Tuesday could be a great way to maximize the benefit to your charity.

Once you determine that your charity qualifies for the donation match and the amount you want to give, the next step is to decide how to fund the donation.

WAYS TO FUND THE DONATION

The most common method of funding a donation to charity is by contributing cash.  However, a frequently overlooked opportunity is to make contributions from appreciated investments.  For Nike employees this is typically some form of Nike stock.

There is an additional tax benefit to using appreciated investments for your donation.  All appreciated investments would normally be subject to taxes upon selling the investment, but this can be avoided/minimized if it is first transferred to and then sold by the charity.   The charity receives the investment, sells it immediately and the cash proceeds are used for the charitable cause without tax consequences. 

Since Nike employees and executives typically own many different types of stock, we will explore the advantages and disadvantages of each type in addition to outside options.

  1. Nike Stock - This is Nike stock purchased individually, outside a Nike employee benefit.  This can be a good option depending on how long you have held the stock.   The entire market value of the stock can be tax-deductible if considered long term gains (i.e. held for longer than one year).  If the stock is held less than one year you only receive a tax deduction on the “cost basis,” which is the original amount you invested.  If this stock has the most growth (largest gain) of all your investments, then it could be one of the most tax-advantageous options for a donation.

  2. Nike ESPP – Nike stock purchased through ESPP has a different set of tax implications and considerations.  Nike allows you to purchase the stock at a 15% discount and that discount is taxed as income whenever you sell the stock.  The discount is also taxable upon donating the shares to charity.  Additionally, the holding period to get the best tax treatment and receive a full deduction for the full market value is longer than normal Nike stock as described in the first scenario.  ESPP shares need to be held for at least 2 years from the grant date and at least 1 year from the purchase date to receive the optimal tax benefits.  Depending on the amount of growth in this stock, it may not be the best stock to utilize since the 15% discount will still be taxable upon the sale and the holding period rules may be challenging to track.

  3. Nike Vested Restricted Stock Units (RSUs) and Restricted Stock Awards (RSAs) – RSUs and RSAs generally vest over a 3 or 4-year period.  Once this stock is vested, the stock becomes just like normal Nike stock (see option #1) and therefore should be held for longer than one year before donating it to a charity.  Since the vested shares become the same as option #1, the benefit in donating these shares depends on how much it has grown.  As with other stock, the larger the gain the better as you will avoid higher taxes if used as a donation.  Unvested RSUs and RSAs are not available for donation to charity.     

  4. Nike Stock Options – Stock Options are non-transferable and not available to donate to charities.  You may, however, exercise the option and either transfer the exercised stock or cash proceeds to the charity.  This method does not offer a significant tax benefit since income tax is paid on the option exercise.  If you exercised stock options and held them as stock for a long period of time with significant growth, then it could become a beneficial method.

  5. Stock in a Different Company (i.e. Amazon, Google, etc.) – Nike employees that have worked for a publicly-traded company in the past typically own sizable amount of stock from their previous employer.  This can be a good way to divest of that stock and diversify without having to pay additional taxes when sold.

  6. Other Stock/Mutual Funds/ETFs – If you have other outside investments those can be also be an effective gifting option. These follow the same holding period rules as option #1.  Again, comparing the amount of gain in these investments versus other types of Nike stock is important in evaluating the optimal gifting and tax benefit option.

Once you have made the donation with one of the options above, make sure that you receive a receipt and submit it through the Give Your Best platform within 90 days of the donation.

Other Considerations

  • Be mindful of the Nike Blackout period.  If you are an executive that is subject to this restriction, when selling Nike stock during certain times of the year you will want to make sure that you do not donate Nike stock during the Blackout Period.

  • Tax Deductibility of Charitable Contributions: Charitable tax deductions changed significantly in 2018 with the recent tax law change from the Tax Cut and Jobs Act of 2017.  Be sure to check with your CPA or Financial Planner to see if your charitable contributions are tax-deductible for this year.  If they are not currently tax-deductible, you still may be able to take advantage of the tax deduction using a strategy known as “bunching.”  See the Human Investing blog post for details on the “bunching” strategy HERE.

  • In addition, based on your total income, there may be limitations to the amount of your deductions in any given year.  Limitations are determined by your Adjusted Gross Income on your tax return. If you cannot take the full tax deductions now due to this limit, those deductions can be carried forward for up to 5 years in the future.

As we have outlined above, there are many options for Nike employees to consider when marking charitable gifts to the organizations that are important to them while at the same time maximizing the tax benefits.  These strategies can also be an effective way to diversify your exposure to one stock without having to pay a significant tax bill in the process. 

If you have questions or want to know more about how to plan your charitable giving as a Nike employee, you can schedule time with me on Calendly below, e-mail me at marc@humanvesting.com, or call or text me at (503) 608-2968.

 

 
 

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What Financial Planning Should Look Like
 
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What are these individuals doing with their clients?

On several occasions we have had a “financial planner” approach us and ask if we could do some financial planning work with their clients. This is a confusing request. The request was not made because there was too much work to do and additional financial planning help was needed. The question was asked because these “financial planners” were not doing (or capable of doing) financial planning. What are these individuals doing with their clients? They are doing meaningful and helpful work, but it is typically isolated to advice focused on a specific product, either investment services or life insurance. They are not equipped (either educationally or structurally within their business) to do comprehensive financial planning, and that has created a gap between the services they are providing and the full financial planning needs of clients. It also begs the question of what clients expect when they hire a “financial planner.” Do they know? Do they know what they don’t know? Do they assume that all financial planners and advisors offer the same range of services?

Imagine going to the doctor

We would postulate that clients outsource the financial planning process as much as they do the financial planning outcomes. More clearly, they trust the expert to guide them through the process and illuminate financial topics that they should be considering as much as making specific recommendations within areas that have already been identified by the client. It is quite similar to what a patient expects of a doctor. The patients brings in a set of identified ailments or existing conditions and expects the doctor to treat these. However, the patient also expects that the doctor will use their expertise to guide them through a more comprehensive physical evaluation that will identify things that are not yet known to the patient. Whether it is in areas of health, legal or business consulting, architecture, etc., we expect the experts to not only address the identified concern but to navigate us through a perplexing and complex topical maze that many of us know very little about. The truly desired outcome normally circles around something like, “help me know what I should know.” There is a lot of trust and vulnerability in that request, and it can get worse as there are many financial incentives that are not in the client’s best interest that have kept the financial planning industry siloed around investment services (stay tuned for much more on that in a later post). Let’s go back to the medical analogy. A patient would never want to go to a doctor who has a drug or pill already identified and is evaluating the condition of the patient by searching for ways to use that drug or pill to treat the patient. Instead, a patient would want a doctor who evaluates the medical situation with an unbiased lens and only uses a drug or pill if it is the most effective way to treat the identified condition.

Truly comprehensive financial planning

Below is a picture that depicts what most financial planning firms look like (the pieces on the right – “Product-focused financial planning”). These firms primarily start with a product and identify ways that their product can help clients reach their financial goals. Their version of financial planning focuses almost exclusively on how investments or life insurance can be used to fund a client’s retirement. They determine retirement funding needs, manage client investments/insurance, and establish and manage tax-advantaged plans (IRAs, Roth IRAs, 529 Plans, etc.). The additional financial planning topics are often neglected or marginally addressed because they are ancillary to the investments and life insurance products (see bottom right of graphic). Many might use the terms “wealth advisors” or “wealth management.”

The picture on the left (“Truly comprehensive financial planning”) is what we propose financial planning should look like. This firm assesses a client’s financial needs from a comprehensive financial planning perspective and realizes that “investment planning” is only one part of financial planning. All of the other aspects are critical in and of themselves, but they also have an impact on the investment strategy and plan. This difference in structure is not a minor variation in mindset or perspective. It is a completely different paradigm that allows for the purest, most comprehensive, and optimal human-centered financial planning. Truly comprehensive financial planners consider all of the client’s financial goals and helps them see the interconnectedness of the various parts as well as the unique behavioral elements that will interact with the plan.

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Our standard

We are an ensemble practice that desires to model the purest and most human-centric version of comprehensive financial planning (picture on the left) so that we can faithfully serve the financial pursuits of all people. One way that we address the limitations cited above is to place an importance on hiring CFP® credentialed advisors to work among our other world-class humans. As a first step to CFP® certification, individuals must complete CFP Board education requirements in the major personal financial planning areas, including:

  • Professional Conduct and Regulation

  • General Principles of Financial Planning

  • Education Planning

  • Risk Management and Insurance Planning

  • Investment Planning

  • Tax Planning

  • Retirement Savings and Income Planning

  • Estate Planning

  • Financial Plan Development (Capstone)

After fulfilling the education requirement, candidates must take and pass a rigorous application-based exam that covers the above-listed topics. After passing the exam, candidates must obtain at least 4,000 hours of financial planning work experience and additionally adhere to the CFP Board’s Code of Ethics and Standards of Conduct (including continuing education hours in ethics and content areas required every two years). While other financial services credentials and licenses provide training and permit certain financial product sales, the CFP® certification is recognized as the highest standard in personal financial planning. It provides the education and training necessary to offer comprehensive financial planning services. The CFP® certification is an important foundation, but it is only the first step towards delivering truly comprehensive financial planning.

We will more fully address many other topics mentioned in this post in future pieces as many of the systematic factors identified in the last article touch and extend from what has been explored above. We believe that the ‘human’ part of Human Investing involves both hiring and investing in exceptional humans and offering investment services within the context of the most comprehensive and purest form of human-centered financial planning.

Ryan Halley, Ph.D., CFP® is Director of Planning Practices and Research at Human Investing. He holds a doctorate in Personal Financial Planning from Texas Tech University and an MBA with a concentration in Finance from The Ohio State University. Ryan has his CERTIFIED FINANCIAL PLANNER™ certification. Dr. Halley is also a Professor of Finance and Financial Planning at George Fox University, where he directs a CFP® Registered Program located near Portland, Oregon. He has co-authored a book and has numerous peer-reviewed journal articles. Additionally, he has been an invited professor and lecturer at various universities in the United States, Canada and China.

 

 
 

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Is the Nike Life Insurance Benefit a Good Deal? Uncovering the Hidden Costs
 
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We wanted to explore a common question that we hear from our Nike clients: “Is the life insurance benefit offered through Nike a good deal?”  We will explore the hidden costs that exist within this benefit and compare it to alternatives to evaluate whether or not it is a good deal.

The Benefit

Nike provides a basic life insurance death benefit of half your annual salary up to a maximum of $500,000, paid by the company. 

Nike also provides employees with the opportunity to purchase additional supplemental life insurance in an amount up to 5½ of your salary up to a maximum of $3.5 million. 

If you combine basic life insurance and supplemental life insurance, the maximum amount you will receive is 6 six times your salary up to a maximum of $4 million of death benefit.

Nike does provide employees with a benefit credit to purchase up to 1½ times your salary of supplemental life insurance.  The benefit credit is, however, subject to income taxes.

On the surface, the Nike supplemental life insurance sounds like a good deal, right?  Before we can make that determination, we need to look at hidden costs as part of this equation.

Hidden Cost #1 - Imputed Income

Life insurance through your employer with a death benefit above $50,000 is considered a taxable fringe benefit.  The IRS puts a dollar value on this benefit called “imputed income," and the Imputed Income is taxed as wages, making it subject to federal, state, Social Security, and Medicare taxes in the same way that your salary is taxed. 

If you look at your Nike paystub, this item will show up under the category of “Add’l Taxable Other Compensation.” Within that category, you will see a line item called “Imputed Income -Life.

The taxes that are created from the imputed income create an additional cost to the life insurance coverage that is typically missed and not considered.  The higher your income tax bracket, the more punitive the imputed income becomes.  

Hidden Cost #2 - Premium Age Bands

It is also essential to understand that the premium you are currently paying for your supplemental life insurance will not stay the same and will likely increase over time.  The primary reason for the increase is that premiums are subject to “age bands.”  Age bands provide a set cost for anyone within a 5-year age increment.  For example, there is an age band for ages 30-34, another for ages 35-39, another for 40-44, and continues up to age 70+.  The older you are, the higher the cost in that age band.  The premium cost that you thought was good may quickly become expensive as you reach new age bands. 

The back-up plan

Given the “Hidden Costs” that we shared, how do you know when the supplemental life insurance is a good deal or not?  To determine that, we need to compare it to the possible alternatives.  At Human Investing, we believe that the only appropriate option is inexpensive individual term life insurance. 

Individual term life insurance is typically purchased for a set number of years (10, 15, 20, 30 years), and the premium during that time is locked in and guaranteed not to change.  Before you are approved for the policy and the premium cost is determined, you will typically be required to go through a medical underwriting process, including a 20-minute medical exam, blood and urine samples, and possibly medical records from your doctor.

When the Nike Supplemental Life Insurance Benefit is a Favorable Deal

  1. Simplicity and Time Savings are More Important than Lower Cost - The supplemental life insurance is easier to obtain than individual term life insurance.  During open enrollment, you can elect up to $500,000 of death benefit just by clicking “yes.”  An amount above $500,000 requires you to fill out a health statement, but that is still much easier than going through the medical underwriting needed for individual term life insurance.

  2. Current Medical Issues - If you have any pre-existing medical issues that would either cause you to be declined from individual term life insurance or create cost-prohibitive rates, the supplemental plan may be the best way for you to obtain affordable life insurance coverage since you can avoid the medical underwriting.

  3. Coverage Only Needed for a Short Time (Less than 5 Years) – If you think you only need life insurance coverage for a short time, supplemental life insurance can be the right choice since the cost is low for the short-term.  In our analysis, coverage becomes expensive in the intermediate to long-term due to the ongoing drag from hidden fees we discussed.  So how long do you need life insurance coverage?  Generally, income earners need life insurance to replace future income for their family for as long as they were planning to work.  The one exception is if they have saved enough funds to replace that future income for their family adequately.  The best way to determine this is to examine this within personalized financial planning projections.

When the Supplemental Life Insurance Benefit is an Unfavorable Deal

  1. You Have Average Health or Better – With individual term life insurance, one benefit of medical underwriting is that you can reap the benefits of being healthy.  The better your health), the lower your cost may be.  Company-sponsored group plans, like the Nike supplemental benefit, base their rate on a broad group that is averaged together, which includes people from excellent health to poor health.

  2.  You Need Life Insurance Coverage Over an Intermediate to Long Period of Time (7+ Years) – As we mentioned earlier, our analysis has shown that the cost of individual term life insurance is often much lower than supplemental life insurance by a significant amount.  This shows most prominently when coverage is needed for about seven years or longer.

  3.  You Want to Maintain Coverage When You Leave Nike – If you leave Nike, it is challenging to maintain the existing coverage, and portability options are limited.  With individual term life insurance, you can keep the policy with you wherever you go.  Additionally, you will lock in a price based on your health and age when you purchase it. Waiting later to buy it will cost you more since you will be older, and any health issues that might arise during that time may cause the cost to increase further.

It’s Not Too Late to Change

Let’s say that you just completed open enrollment, and you are having second thoughts about the supplemental life insurance coverage you just enrolled in.It’s not too late to change your mind. You can purchase individual coverage and can cancel the Nike coverage mid-year under one of the available exceptions.Simply contact Nike HR and tell them that you have a "Family Status Change," and the status change is "Employee/Spouse/Child/Other Gains Other Coverage."Please keep in mind that we always recommend waiting to cancel any coverage until the new coverage replacing it is fully in place.

Where to Get Individual Term Life Insurance

There are many conflicts of interest in firms that offer life insurance. Therefore, we would recommend that you proceed carefully.  Many firms do not shop the market for the best company that fits you. Since many are affiliated with one specific insurance company, they are motivated by commission payouts and sales targets to funnel you to their affiliates.   We would also recommend staying away from more expensive cash value life insurance products like whole life and universal life insurance.

At Human Investing, we decided to stop selling commissioned life insurance since we felt strongly that it was a conflict of interest. This decision allows us to act as a Fiduciary 100% of the time.  To continue to serve clients well, we instead decided to partner with insurance firms that specialize in the specific type of insurance we believe in and will not try to upsell you on more expensive coverage.  If you would like a reference to one of those firms, just let us know, and we would be happy to share that information with you.

We’re here if you have questions

There is nothing fundamentally wrong or bad about Nike’s supplemental life insurance offer.  In fact, the Nike benefit is a more generous plan than we have seen at other companies.  The real issue is that life insurance offered through employers has hidden costs that can make the coverage expensive. If you have questions or want to better understand how to take advantage of the Nike Life Insurance Plan, you can schedule time with me on Calendly below, e-mail me at marc@humanvesting.com, or call or text me at (503) 608-2968.

 

 
 

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