Equity Returns Are in Your Favor: The Positives Outweigh the Negatives
 
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“Stocks are too risky for me.”

“You shouldn’t invest anything in stocks unless you’re prepared to lose all of it.”

“Investing is just another form of gambling.”

I have heard these concerns and many other reasons why people are nervous about investing, particularly in stocks. The ups and downs of the stock market can be difficult to stomach. This year, we saw one of the fastest drops in history as COVID-19 hit the world. The S&P 500 was down just over 30% from the beginning of 2020. Then stocks rallied back. At the end of July, the S&P 500 was positive for the year 2020. This is a wild ride no matter how you look at it.

The fear of short-term losses in investing is referred to as “myopic loss aversion”. The idea is that the fear of short-term losses scares investors away from riskier assets like stocks. As such, investors tend to invest more conservatively than they should, resulting in lower long-term returns.

Long-term stocks are a wonderful tool to grow your assets above the rate of inflation. Growing your savings and spending power over time is attractive, and for many it is essential to achieve their financial goals. The volatility of stocks along the way? No one looks forward to that. 

How risky are stocks in any given year?

If we look at historical returns for the S&P 500, a curious picture emerges:

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Since 1937, the S&P 500 has had a positive return in 63/83 years, or 76% of the time. For reference, that is a solid “C” and a passing grade in any class I have taken.

For example, pretend you put $100 in the stock market on January 1 every year. In years with a positive return (76% of the time), on average you would see that $100 grow by 19.61% to $119.61. In years with a negative return (24% of the time), you would see that $100 shrink by an average of -12.19% to $87.81. Long-term, the odds are in your favor to grow your assets.

Invest with a Stable Foundation

There are certainly risks to owning stocks. It is important to ensure you have an emergency fund  to cover unexpected job loss or life expenses. It is also important to determine how much risk you can handle, both financially & emotionally, so you are not tempted to panic and sell when you see your account balance go down. A financial plan may be helpful to illustrate the dangers of investing too conservatively or too aggressively and may help to determine the risk that makes best sense for you.

If you need help understanding the risks and benefits of investing in equities, please contact our team at Human Investing. 


 

 
 

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Financial Literacy Starts Young: Knowledge that Pays
 

Demand for better financial literacy is going up

Financial Literacy is the understanding of financial concepts which guides good money decisions in everyday life.

The backdrop of personal finance is having a structure for how to act. We usually refer to this as a financial plan. A financial plan helps to allocate money, a limited resource (for most of us), to unlimited alternatives.

Financial literacy can help parents make a difference

The United States is the largest economy in the world however, Standard and Poor’s Global Financial Literacy Survey reveals that it is the 14th in the world in Financial Literacy at approximately 57%.

By age 7, most children begin to grasp that money can be exchanged for goods and represent value. For example, understanding that 5 pennies equals 1 nickel, as a University of Cambridge research on “Habit Formation and Learning in Young Children” discovered.  Starting at age 7 or 2nd grade, a child is ready for more instruction and guidance around money concepts. In the same way that children learn language from their parents, they can and do learn money habits from their parents but need exposure and  instructive conversations. Moreover, children need the opportunity to practice with money, or forms of money, that have different representations of value.

Financial literacy can lead to responsible decision making

Parents have the ultimate authority and responsibility to begin educating on financial concepts from a young age. Parents should be aware not to rely on the education system to teach the basics or complexities of personal finance, as it is not required to graduate in many states (ex: Oregon).

To help empower parents with the knowledge and tools to provide a great foundation for personal finance, let us refresh ourselves of the basics of what children can learn and apply early in their formation. Always remember to keep it simple.

Start with an approachable framework

The four basic functions for allocating money is to Spend, Save, Invest, or Give. A guideline to start with is a 30/70 rule: save, give and invest 30% while spending the remaining 70%. To create a basic guideline for our kids (and possibly even ourselves), let’s break each of these functions down.

The heart of giving

Let’s start with giving, since many of us have experienced that if it is not given up front, it may not be given at all. This is important in establishing an altruistic worldview (selfless concern for the wellbeing of others) but also in teaching an abundance mindset (always more to go around) as opposed to a scarcity mindset (only so much and never enough). Giving can immensely impact a child’s desire to be a force for good and help others, which is the foundation for business. When banking a dollar per week from allowance, even with this small amount, it can be a great place to start the heart-healthy habit. Ask your child what they care about and who they would like to help with their giving, it may surprise you.

The necessity of saving

A similar principle will prove necessary for saving. It is much easier to set aside some money prior to spending to ensure you will have something left over when needed. Having adequate savings can keep you from being subject to predatory lending or missing out on an opportunity. It is equally important to help kids understand that saving is not the same as investing. It is important to have money working for you, not just set aside and available to you.

The value of investing

The importance of investing is compounding interest and seeing your hard-earned dollars multiply for you in a way that seems effortless but requires patience and self-control.

Setting money aside to help a child invest in a company like Disney or Nike, something they can tangibly see and enjoy, is a great learning lesson. This could be done through your taxable investment account or in their own UTMA (child’s investing account).

If the former idea is too involved or the money is not available for buying actual shares of companies, consider offering your child a “matching program” when they invest in the “Parent Company”. In the same way, consider offering your child interest (growth) for leaving their savings with you. They may need a greater incentive to understand the concept and value of having their money grow. Based on the child’s age, show them a toy that costs $1 and a toy that costs $10. They could spend their $1 weekly allowance collecting numerous low cost and low value toys, or they could save and potentially even grow their dollars to achieve a valuable toy more quickly. This would help provide the incentive to invest those dollars rather than spend them or even save them.

Lastly, teach the rule of 72. An investment that grows 7% annually will double in just over 10 years (72/7=10.2). An investment that grows by 10% annually will double in just over 7 years (72/10=7.2).

The discipline of spending

A great place to start is needs and wants. How much should be allocated to needs and what is left for wants. A rule of thumb is 50% for needs and 20% for wants. Without a credit card line, this is much easier to do when working on a cash basis. Until kids are old enough to have expenses like cell phone, auto insurance, gas, it will be difficult to break out needs versus wants. Until then, spending will be all one category at 70%. Once the child is a high schooler, they will experience more reasoning between needs and wants. What is left over is available for “fun money”.

It will be important to discuss the topic of credit versus debit as credit cards are a form of debt and borrowing from an institution will have numerous negative effects on saving and investing.

Another concept to teach when considering spending is discounts and coupons. When paying less for a specific item, you have more left over for other items or for saving, investing, or giving. One of the best places to teach this is looking at a specific product at the grocery store (candy bars!) and comparing prices, those on sale and those that are not and the impact of spending less to keep more.

The compounding benefits of financial literacy

Financial literacy, like investing, has compounding benefits especially when starting young. It is invaluable to model and have conversations around money with your children. No need for perfection, but the goal is to make progress and provide opportunities to learn.

This article was inspired from a presentation by Mac Gardner, CFP®, author of “The Four Money Bears”.


 


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New Standards Set by the SEC on Transparency and Conduct for all Advisors
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Human Investing is celebrating. Why? We have good news for you. While we’ve always been transparent at Human Investing, the rest of the industry is now required to catch up.

A new rule took effect on June 30th, designed to help provide investors with a transparent look at their investment professionals.

The U.S. Security and Exchange Commission (SEC) enacted the Regulation Best Interest rule which requires all Advisors and Brokers to provide their retail clients with Form CRS (an acronym for Client Relationship Summary).

Our firm has been promoting transparency with our clients for a long time. As a fiduciary, that’s what we stand for. We have experienced transparency leads to greater trust and better results with our clients and within our team. We are now excited to see that the rest of the industry is required to do the same. If you are working with an advisor, or plan to work with an advisor, this impacts news for you.  

The intent of the Form CRS is to address the first PILLAR of the SEC’s three-part mission:

  1. Protect investors 

  2. Maintain fair, orderly, and efficient markets 

  3. Facilitate capital formation 

Regulation Best Interest and Form CRS were created with the intent to help investors protect themselves. Form CRS accomplishes this by requiring advisors to communicate information that an investor should know (e.g. conflicts of interest and how your advisor gets paid) in a clear standardized format. This new rule isn’t a panacea for all industry ills, however, the transparency provided by Form CRS will help investors better educate and protect themselves.   

We also hope that transparency will affect wide change in our industry for the benefit of the investor. The impact of transparency we hope for is described well in Ray Dalio's book Principles.  

"Radical transparency fosters goodness in so many ways for the same reasons that bad things are more likely to take place behind closed doors." - Ray Dalio.  

So, what exactly will you be able to learn about your advisor via Form CRS? 

  • The types of services a firm offers — are there services they offer that you aren't receiving?

  • The fees and costs you will have to pay for those services — this is especially important because there are many different fee structures

  • Conflicts of interest a broker or adviser may have — an estimated $17 billion is spent annually on conflicted advice for retirement savings in the US

  • The required standard of conduct associated with the services a firm offers 

  • Whether a firm and its financial professionals have reportable legal or disciplinary history

  • Key questions to ask your financial professional

Want to learn about your financial advisor? Here is a link to the SEC's search engine of Form CRS - Form CRS Search Engine. See Human Investing’s Form CRS here.

If you have a question about Form CRS or you are interested in having a clear, transparent conversation about your financial plan, please contact us at Human Investing.  We're here to help! 


Sources:

www.investor.gov

https://www.sec.gov/Article/whatwedo.html

https://obamawhitehouse.archives.gov/blog/2015/02/23/effects-conflicted-investment-advice-retirement-savings



Will Kellar
How to Thoughtfully Finance a Car or any Big Ticket Purchase
 
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It’s hard to let go of your old car. You know which car I’m talking about. The car with the window taped shut because it doesn’t roll down properly. The car with three paint jobs—each a different shade of green. The car that gets shaky after you reach 65 mph, because it was a hand-me-down from your grandma, who’s max freeway speed is 50 mph. It’s been with you through it all, but when car dealerships start advertising 0% financing and cash-back deals, you might feel yourself loosening your grip.  

Before we dig in, it’s important to acknowledge that even though good deals are currently out there, you may not need an upgrade. And that’s okay! Own your steady, functional car, and avoid instant gratification. However, sometimes things do happen that require an upgrade. Your tape job suddenly malfunctions, and your car window won’t roll up in mid-January. Or your car starts shaking at 50mph on your morning commute instead of 65mph.

When planning for a big expense, whether it’s a car or another large purchase you plan to finance, it’s best to create savings goals. But because life is both expensive and unpredictable, this post aims to discuss ways to finance a large purchase in a smart and efficient way. Here’s your list of action-items:

FOCUS ON WHAT YOU ACTUALLY need

Create a list of your needs (not your wants), and then research your options. If you need a car, what kind of car do you need? Something that can haul large objects, or carry the tiny humans safely? Used or new? Find the total cost of the car that can sufficiently meet all your needs. Avoid any options that may push you outside of your budget. Basically, don’t buy more car than you need.

Decide how to finance the purchase 

If you cannot purchase the expense in full, you have two financing options: (1) a lease or (2) a loan.  

Know that when assessing the total cost of the car, it’s important to leave room for the expense to finance the car through a loan.

  1. Lease: When you lease a car, you are paying monthly to use the car. Because this finance option doesn’t lead to car ownership, monthly payments for leases are typically lower than loan payments. However, you will not be able to ever own the car or “pay it off.” Because of this, leases will never be profitable and are best saved for professional purposes if necessary.  

  2. Loan: When you borrow an auto loan, you are paying monthly to eventually own the car. There are many loan options depending on your budget, credit score, and timeline. Most loans will have an annual percentage rate (APR). That is, the interest rate you pay on the loan. The APR will vary based on the duration of the loan, your credit score, and where you borrow from. Make sure you shop around to find the best loan that meets your needs. In short, try and find a loan with a low APR and pay it off as quickly as you can. Click here to view Rivermark’s auto loan options.

Calculate the monthly payment

In order to budget for your new expense, you need to know the amount of the monthly payment. Let’s say you want a 2020 Subaru Forester because let’s be real, if you’re a true Oregonian, you’ve thought about getting a Subaru at least once. Using data from their website, here’s the breakdown:  

Find the cost of the car: $24,495 

Pick a Finance term: 48 months

Know the APR based on your credit score: 4.19% 

Calculate the monthly cost of the car, including the APR: 

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Ta-dah! Your monthly car payment is estimated to be around $700, making the estimated total cost of the car $33,600.  

Let’s take a moment to catch our breath. I know this seems stressful, but don’t worry. Make sure you are taking care of your credit score and budgeting for the expense. If you take the appropriate and smart steps, you’ll be okay!  

Simulate the payment INTO A MONTHLY BUDGET

Before deciding to finance the car, take three months to see if the monthly payment fits in your budget. Whether it be through automatic transfers or manually setting money aside, try not to house the simulated monthly payment in an account used for spending purposes. If you don’t have a budget, click here for resources to get started. 

This practice will allow you to visualize how your car payment can fit into your budget. You may need to re-allocate dollars in your budget, or you might find you have more wiggle room than you initially thought!  

What are you waiting for? Get the car!

You earned this! You took the smart and appropriate steps to finance your car, so make it happen and create new memories. We are rooting for you.  

 

 
 

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A Bird’s Eye View of Today’s Tax Rates

“In this world nothing can be said to be certain except death and taxes” – Benjamin Franklin.

HERE’S A SNAPSHOT OF HISTORICAL TAX RATES

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You can compare 2020’s highest marginal income tax rate to years dating back to 1913. Although this chart is not an all-inclusive story about someone’s individual tax situation, it does suggest that overall tax rates are lower today than they have been in the recent past.

How to Take Advantage

The current tax rates are locked until December 31, 2025, unless there is an update to the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (TCJA). Without a crystal ball, we do not know where tax rates are heading. However, as this image illustrates, we do know tax rates can increase in the future. 

One way to take advantage of today’s low tax rates is to utilize accounts like a Roth IRA or saving Roth inside your 401k plan.

Do you have questions?

We know that interpreting the tax code is an unpleasant and complicated experience. We have a team of CPA’s at Human Investing who are ready to answer any questions you may have.



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How to Build an Emergency Fund
 
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“You need to make more money…”

My budget coach and I sat there silent in the face of what seemed like an impossible reality.

For me, and perhaps for some of you, the option to make more money was laughable.  At that life stage, I was in the midst of a financial tornado: our nation’s economy was hung-over from the market crash of 2008, my employer at the time lost a grant that substantially reduced my paycheck, and an unexpected illness and injury lead to weighty bills and rendered additional work next to impossible.

Each month I felt like I was scraping up pennies just to make ends meet – Maybe some of you feel the same today.

Unavoidable realities like a job loss, illness, injury, and accidents are financial burdens that most of us will face at some point in our life.  The support of a funded emergency savings account is a solid way to ease some of the financial blows that come our way.

I am happy to report that, though it took some time and sacrifice, I was able to meet my “impossible” goal to have a funded emergency-savings account, and I would like to share with you some of the helpful tips I learned along the way.

organize where your dollars are going

There is a link between paying attention and success, so consider paying close attention to where your dollars are going.  List all purchases, spending, and expenses for the month and ask: What, When, How Much and Why are dollars leaving my account?  What are the “surprise” expenses?  Take a moment to consider needs vs. wants.

Next, (you may have guessed it—and even groaned) consider making a budget. If you hate dealing with money or do not even know where to start, there is HOPE!  There are many creative ways to budget that do not take a lot of time or effort but help you to pay attention and stay on track.

  • If you don’t have a budget consider: YNAB; Mint; Cash Envelope System (or digital); The  50/30/20 method, value-based budget, or unconventional alternatives such as a visa cash card loaded weekly/monthly with your budgeted amount.  I found success with the 50/30/20 method combined with the envelope system.

  • If you do have a budget, look closely at the How Much and Why.  Consider setting a goal to check on your spending and expenses once a week and ask:  How am I doing?  What can I change to improve?

Open a Savings Account and Set Goals

This is not just wishful thinking – it is preparing to succeed.  Many financial institutions will allow you to open a savings account simply and easily online.

Here are a few recommended examples for high yield online savings:

For most households, an appropriate emergency-savings buffer is three-months of your living expenses.  Write it down.  Take a moment to imagine that amount and how you will feel when you meet your goal.

Set a goal: Ask your employer about directing a portion of your paycheck directly to your savings account.  An alternative is to set monthly, automatic transfers from your checking to your savings account.  It is generally best to have this occur the day after payday to give your funds a day to settle.

Setup auto-deposits: This also may help with large, annual bills.  Take your annual bill and divide it by twelve – this is how much you need to save every month to pay for this bill outright – Plus, you may actually save money when you pay in full!

Boost your savings when that “Free Money” comes your way

You just got your tax return.  You just got a stimulus check.  Your grandma just sent you a birthday card.  Your company gave you an unexpected bonus.

Your heart, your peers, and your social network cheer:  Treat yourself!

It is easy to think of unexpected cash as “free money.” Yet if your goal is to build up an emergency savings fund, “free money” is a great way to get a big boost.  To satisfy that itch to have a treat, consider making a deal with yourself:  I will set aside 20% (or $20, or whatever you feel you can stick to) into my savings account, and the rest I can use for a treat.

If you plan for your treats and stick to your plan, you gain a double reward.

hustle and Ask for deals

While it may not be a benefit to bundle in services you will not use, it is a wise idea to call your service providers to ask about unadvertised promotions.  Our household was able to keep our high-speed internet bill at $30/mo for nearly 5 years by calling once a year to ask about current promotions, specials, and loyalty rewards.  This annual phone call saved a total of $240 per year.

Tighten Your budget’s Belt

Unsubscribe: Do you know how much you really spend on your subscriptions? Look at your credit or debit card statements for a few months and see what you find.  Often, we sign up for a free month trial and forget to cancel, we don’t notice the $50 because it’s billed annually, or we don’t actually use what the subscription offers.  

Take what is free: Did you know that most libraries have free audio, video, and eBook apps?  Did you know that Harvard offers a whole range of classes for free?!  As you make good choices about reducing your subscriptions, consider taking advantage of the huge range of free courses, events, activities, and entertainment.

Dine-in: Eating out is to your budget what driving a semi-truck is to fuel efficiency: a drain.  Your budget will stretch further on fewer dollars when you eat at home.  Consider leveraging the percent principle noted above – Make a goal for eating at home so that eating out becomes a treat. Don’t know how to cook?  Learning can be easy! Or fancy!  Hate cooking and think you don’t have time?  Cooking can be simple!

Every little bit counts: One of the key-ways dollars sneak away from our wallet is thinking, “It’s only $10 a month” or “Three-dollars won’t go very far” – Perhaps it’s just the cost of your morning coffee. If the only thing you do is make your coffee at home, you stand to save approximately $800 a year or more.  And look closely:  that’s only one cup of coffee a day!

Make it fun: There are dozens of ways to save money and even have fun while you’re at it! Here are a few to get started:  Staycation!  Be a Winner! Grocery Wins!  Become a Hunter! Up-Cycle!  “Use it up, wear it out, make it do or do without…” – Calvin Coolidge

CELEBRATE THE LITTLE VICTORIES

I hope this has given you some practical steps and encouragement to begin an emergency savings account for when life, inevitably, happens.  In closing, I want to offer the most powerful tool you have: Hope.

“Success is failure turned inside out—the silver tint of the clouds of doubt.” - John Greenleaf Whittier

 

 
 

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Raising the Bar With B Corp
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As one of currently sixty-four B Corp investment advisory firms in the United States, we get asked why Human Investing decided to pursue the B Corp certification. In the spirit of B Corp’s “Together We Are A Force for Good,” I thought I would share a few insights along with highlights from our most-recent recertification.

Why B Corp?

Like training for any number of professions, mastering a skill, or even raising children, becoming a B Corp involves many considerations. These considerations range from how a company is structured to how it operates, the impact its products and services have within the marketplace, and the company’s desire to support new initiatives towards growth. Additionally, assessing the ability to measure and track progress is key, as well as the ability to support the financial commitment. A not-so-secret ingredient and common denominator among B Corps is a strong (even passionate) desire to provide a better workplace for all. Beyond the structural considerations, the reason(s) a company pursues this certification may stem from a grass-roots motivation, a desire to take part in a rigorous assessment of their business practices, or more formal ESG (environmental, social, and governance) goals. Whatever the reason may be, it is available to for-profit companies of all sizes and industries with at least one year of operations. In many states, while the B Corp is not within the tax code, it is acknowledged as a benefit corporation. The purpose of this is to focus on and highlight stakeholder benefits along with shareholder benefits. Stakeholders are clients/customers, employees, vendors, as well as the community and the environment we live and work in. Once certified, a company’s legal documents (i.e. operating agreement), are required to be revised to include this language.

We have often communicated our B Corp certification as: what LEED certification is to a building or Organic is to milk, B Corp is to Human Investing. Becoming a B Corp is about stepping into the rigors of a standard that expects more. Attaining the certification has allowed us to verify how we operate and highlight what sets us apart. When initially hearing about the B corporation, we felt that being a B Corp already existed in the DNA of Human Investing. Walking through the initial certification gave us the first look into whether that was true and where we needed to focus our improvements.

Entering the initial and ongoing B Corp re-certifications have and continue to be a mirror by which we reflect on who we say we are against actual company data. In today’s world, it is easy to espouse ‘to be’ something. It is quite a different story to invite the effort and rigors into that narrative which, in turn, give validation to the words. As we learned more about what the B Corp organization was trying to accomplish, with its Declaration of Interdependence stating: “That we must be the change we seek in the world. That all business ought to be conducted as if people and place mattered. That, through their products, practices, and profits, business should aspire to do no harm and benefit all. To do so requires that we act with the understanding that we are each dependent upon another and thus responsible for each other and future generations,” we saw how it might fit with our structure as a for-profit company, our desire to be a company with high ideals, and our mission to serve the financial pursuits of all people.

The Certification Process 

Our initial certification process in 2014 included questions from 5 different areas: governance, workers, community, environment, and customers. It was like lifting the lid on a shiny car to find out what was really going on under the hood. Accompanying answers to the questions were our company financials along with various forms of data and information to corroborate our responses. Once our B-Corp submission was reviewed, accepted, and exceeded the 80-point minimum we were certified and ready to share the story.

We have recently completed our second re-certification and can confirm the process is becoming more stringent. Data has entered the certification (as with the rest of the business world) in a whole new way.  While the depth and breadth of the questions brought new challenges this time around, it also gave us the opportunity to give feedback to help shape future questions.

Keep Reaching Higher

Our story as a B Corporation continues to grow and evolve. We continue to communicate with clients and vendors not only what the certification is about but why it matters. More and more prospective clients are recognizing the logo on our website and expressing their desire to work with a registered investment advisory firm who is also a B Corp. We have encouraged some institutional clients to consider the certification as well. The challenges of our day are greater, but there is no time like the present to keep reaching higher, for the good of all!

If your firm is considering the B Corp certification and you have questions, please reach out to me at jill@humaninvesting.com, or check out the various resources from B Corp below. And remember that at the heart of it all, becoming a B Corp is a verb.

Additional Resources:

Assessment Info

Certification Requirements


Jill Novak
$5 Today is Worth More than $5 Tomorrow
 

Saving your hard-earned dollars is a better game plan than frivolously spending money. However, keeping your savings in cash (not investing the dollars) is also risky. This risk is called inflation. To substantiate inflation, we found the increase in price of Stumptown Coffee Roasters lattes since 2014.  

**This article is not about Stumptown increasing the costs of their lattes. Suppliers, just like buyers, pay more for the goods they buy when inflation is rising. Stumptown consistently ranks among the best coffee shops in Portland!**

Flashback! It’s 2014…

You have $5.00 to go spend at Stumptown Roasters. That will buy you a delicious medium latte for $3.75 and a shortbread cookie for $1.25. Treat yourself!

2014.jpg

Let’s say, instead of spending that $5.00 in 2014, you put it under your mattress for safe keeping. You find the $5.00 a few years later and still frequent Stumptown. We are going to run through a few scenarios of the purchasing power of that same $5.00 bill.

Two years have passed, and it is now 2016.

Your beloved medium latte now costs $4.00, and the shortbread cookie costs $1.35. You find $.35 in your pocket (does finding coins ever happen anymore?!), so you make the purchase possible.

2016.jpg

Four years have passed, and it is now 2018.

That same tasty medium latte now costs $4.50, and the shortbread cookie costs $1.50. You might be going home hungry.

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Fast forward six years to 2020…

Your medium latte now costs $4.75, and the shortbread cookie costs $1.60. Assuming you would leave the barista a tip, your $5.00 bill cannot even buy you a coffee. You might be going home thirsty and hungry.

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Magnifying inflation’s effects on bigger life decisions

In this example, the cost of a coffee and a cookie only changed by $1.33 over six years. While that may not seem significant (the increase is less than $2!), the cost of goods did increase by 26%. If you apply that percent increase to a larger purchase like a home, a car, or education savings, you may not be able to afford what you intended.

One way to maintain purchasing power is to invest the $5.00 into the stock market. If you bought the S&P 500 in 2014, then that same $5.00 would be worth around $9.40 today in 2020, which is enough to pay for a coffee and cookie from Stumptown. For simplicity purposes, we only looked at the rising cost of coffee and S&P 500 return since 2014. To further substantiate the decrease of purchasing power over time, we included a chart that compares the S&P 500 total return to the purchasing power of a dollar since 1990. 

Coffee Chart.png

If you have questions or need help preparing an investment strategy for your savings, please contact our team at Human Investing. We drink good coffee.  

 

 
 

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"If you Fail to Plan, you are Planning to Fail"
 

Benjamin Franklin’s quote applies to many choices we make – including personal finances. If we don’t take his message to heart, then a lack of planning can be costly.

There are traditionally two paths one will take when purchasing a large expense. They will either build a plan ahead of time to achieve a financial goal, or—the more popular path—worry about it when the expense arises. It is important to consider the hidden cost when financing a large future expense.

NOT PLANNING AHEAD MAY cost you more than YOU THINK.

Let’s take the example of a future expense of $25,000 for any situation*.

*Fill in the blank: year of college for a child 👩‍🎓, down payment for a home🏠, wedding 👰🏻, car purchase 🚘, vacation 🌞, etc.

How do you pay for the $25,000 future expense?

In this hypothetical, an individual can choose to (A) make a monthly investment over the next 10 years or (B) borrow the $25,000 and make monthly payments to pay off debt for the next 10 years. See the cost break down here:

Note: This is for illustrative purposes only. Investment returns, interest rates, and loan periods will vary.

Note: This is for illustrative purposes only. Investment returns, interest rates, and loan periods will vary.

SO WHAT ARE YOU PLANNING FOR TOMORROW?

Building a savings plan and starting early provides 27% in savings over 10 years, with a total cost of only $18,240. Conversely, the cost of convenience by borrowing adds to the overall cost by more than 33%, raising the cost to $33,360. This example is at a 6% interest rate, but unfortunately, much consumer debt is often financed on a credit card with an average APR now above 16%. A 16% interest rate on a one-time expense would more than double the cost over 10 years.

This simple illustration provides a two-sided application. As illustrated above, building a financial plan can save someone thousands of dollars. Procrastinating and not building a plan can in turn cost someone thousands. Either way you look at it, it is important to consider the real cost of any financial endeavor in order to make a well-informed decision.

Our team at Human Investing is available if you have questions or would like help building a financial plan.

 

 
 

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College Savings and 529 plans: The Significant Benefits of Starting Early
 
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Why Save for College?

For many reasons, planning and saving for college is essential. The pursuit of a college education is a wise investment. In most cases, college graduates will earn significantly more over their lifetime than those who opt out of post-secondary education. However, this comes at a high cost. Beyond the purchase of a home, the decision to pursue higher education is commonly the second largest expense of an individual’s/family’s lifetime. Importantly, the inability to save and plan for college early can dramatically impact assets set aside for other savings goals such as retirement or paying off a primary residence.  

You Can Fund Your College Tuition Out of Pocket and with Loans

Let’s say for whatever reason, funding college now for your child is not an option. The estimated annual cost of college at a four-year, in-state university is $27,000. When including inflation, from birth to sending a student away to college, total costs are estimated at over $190,000. Assuming you or your child, through student loans, need to borrow to fund schooling, the estimated cost balloons to nearly $250,000, which includes interest at 5% on the borrowed tuition over ten years.  

Or You Can Start Saving at Birth

Using the same assumptions as before, but this time you pre-fund college (start now) over the course of 18 years at $6,000 per year. You should have just about enough to pay the balance of school. In short, the savings of $108,000 over 18 years, plus the growth of $88,500 (just over 6% compounded monthly), covers the cost of higher education.  

What’s the Difference?

Funding college early reduces the future funding liability by six figures. If there is an ability to pre-fund college, in whole or part, it is a great choice with lasting financial implications. By saving at the birth of a child or grandchild, a family could save approximately $140,000 per child ($250,000 versus $108,000), if they desired to fund 100% of college expenses at a 4-year, in-state university by saving to a 529 plan versus paying through student loans.  

Paying with a home equity line of credit (HELOC), a student loan, or even out of present cashflow should be avoided if possible. Even less optimal is pulling funds from retirement accounts. Although sometimes necessary, taking retirement account distributions to pay for college will potentially increase your tax bracket and the could be subject to penalties. More importantly, it reduces assets available for your retirement when earning additional income is often difficult. 

What are the Benefits of 529 College Savings Plans?

Your 529 Dollars Will Grow without Being Taxed. There are a plethora of benefits for a 529 account—but the most important is tax-exempt investment growth. If 529 funds are used toward qualifying education expenses (tuition, room & board, books, computer, etc.), there is no taxation on the earnings. If the college savings account has remaining funds after all tuition is paid, the parent or custodian could change the beneficiary to another family member or sibling. If there are no other beneficiaries to use the funds, the funds can be drawn out and used for anything. However, if designated 529 funds are used for the “anything” bucket, the growth on the account will be taxed at ordinary income levels and earnings will be subject to a 10% penalty. 

If the student receives a scholarship, funds equal to that amount of the scholarship could be withdrawn from the 529 and not subject to a 10% penalty, but there would still be ordinary income taxation on the earnings withdrawn for purposes other than qualified education expenses.

Another benefit of a 529 plan is that it has a low impact on FAFSA, in qualifying for federal aid.   

You Can Maximize Tax Credits. Depending on the state in which you live, there may be a state tax deduction for contributions to a state-sponsored 529 plan. For example, if you live in Oregon, you can receive a state tax credit of 5% of your contribution up to 100% of your contribution, depending on income limits. The maximum tax credit in any year is $300. There are also college tax credits on tuition that may be available depending on your income level. 

It is important to coordinate the use of your 529 plan dollars with your tax advisor to maximize these potential credits.

COLLEGE SAVINGS PLANS ADAPT AS YOUR CHILD APPROACHES COLLEGE

College savings plans have a shorter overall time horizon than a typical investment or retirement account. If an account is open when the child is born, 18 years will pass before funds are set for distribution. By the time the student is applying for colleges, funds should be invested more conservatively so as not to put funds at risk of loss at the time of liquidation and use for college expenses. As a rule of thumb, the earlier you start saving, the more aggressive you can be—but as college approaches, getting more conservative is a wise approach. This can often be solved with an age-based, target-date fund offered by 529 plans, in which the investments automatically adjust from stocks to bonds and cash as the child approaches college. 

Talk about These Things During “Windshield Time”

There are many financial considerations when sending your children to college. Optimally, you and your significant other are making a choice early in life about how you hope to partner with your child in paying for school—if at all. If the choice is to help pay for some, or all expenses, discussions surrounding what paying for school looks like is essential. 

Does paying for school include a two-year stint at a community college? What about a state school, private school, or a school of their choice? Each of these questions and considerations are great for a road-trip—something we like to call “windshield time.”

 


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Test Your Financial Literacy With These 5 Core Questions
 

The financial world can be a confusing place filled with jargon, technicalities, and little to no guarantees. Research suggests that those who are financially literate tend to have better financial outcomes. Financially literacy is typically measured by asking some core financial concept questions. Let’s walk through some financial literacy questions from the National Financial Capability Study, and explain the why behind the answer. Feel free to guess and score yourself at the end:



Question 1 - interest:

Suppose you had $100 in a savings account and the interest rate was 2% per year. After 5 years, how much do you think you would have in the account if you left the money to grow?

A. Less than $102
B. Exactly $102
C. More than $102

 
 
 

Answer: C, more than $102.

Explanation: The key part here is “After 5 years”. We are told the interest rate is 2% per year. That means every year, 2% gets added to our principal balance. To break it down year by year:

 
 
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The interest earned increases each year. This is due to compound interest: the original principal ($100) grows, and the interest you earned previously (in year 2, $2) both earn interest. At the end of 5 years, we have $110.41 which is C More than $102.

Why this matters: Interest affects you when you save money to grow it, or borrow money to pay it back later. Knowing how interest can work for or against you is critical for financial success.

Question 2 - inflation:

Imagine the interest rate on your savings account was 1% per year and inflation was 2% per year. After 1 year, how much would you be able to buy with the money in this account?

A. Less than today
B. Exactly the same
C. More than today

 
 
 

Answer: A, Less Than today.

Explanation: They key here is the inflation rate is higher than the savings rate. Inflation is growing at 2%, meaning the price of goods (rent, utilities, food, cars, etc.) is going up by 2% each year. The cost of $100 of goods today will be $102 in 1 year. Your interest on savings is growing at 1% a year. That means in 1 year you will have $101 to spend on goods. In 1 year, you will have $101 to buy $102 worth of goods. Your ability to buy is A less than today.

Why this matters: Even if you keep your money “safe” in the bank or under the mattress, inflation is going to make that money less and less valuable. Thus why investing is so important. Investing can be scary due to downturns in the market, but ultimately the odds are in your favor to grow your money over time. Unless you can save significant portions of your income, growing your savings faster than inflation is critical for being able to retire.

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Question 3 - Risk Diversification:

Buying a single company’s stock usually provides a safer return than a stock mutual fund.

A. True
B. False

 
 
 

Answer: B, False.

Explanation: To answer this question correctly, it is important to understand both risk and that a mutual fund owns a variety of companies. They keyword here is safer. Financial markets have two types of risk: market risk and company-specific risk (aka systematic risk and nonsystematic risk respectively).

Market risk refers to risk all companies face. Examples of market risk include a change to the US tax code, a global pandemic, or shifts in consumer tastes like a shift from fast food to organic freshly prepared food. You will always face market risk because every company is exposed to these risks. Company-specific risk refers to risks unique to one company. Examples of company-specific risk include sudden changes in management, a press release about product defects, mass recalls, or a superior/cheaper product released by a rival company. Because you own a variety of companies in a stock mutual fund, you diversify away (i.e. reduce your risk) if any single, specific company has a terrible event.

Why this matters: Don’t invest all your money in one company. Especially if you work for that company, and your compensation is based on the company doing well. By spreading out your investments, you reduce your risk of catastrophic returns, and smooth out the ride so you can sleep at night.

Question 4 - interest of the life of a loan:

A 15-year mortgage typically requires higher monthly payments than a 30-year mortgage, but the interest paid over the life of the loan will be less

A. True
B. False

 
 
 

Answer: A, True.

Explanation: Because of the shorter life of the mortgage loan, you pay less interest. Remember in question 1, interest compounds every year. When you borrow money, that compounding works against you. Therefore, the faster you are paying off debt, the less time for interest to compound and grow the total amount you have to payoff. The monthly payments are typically larger, but the overall interest paid is less.

To illustrate with numbers, let’s look at the difference between a 15 year & 30 year mortgage, assuming a 5% interest rate for both:

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Why this matters: You can see from the example how much money is saved by opting for a 15 year mortgage. Can you afford that extra monthly payment? That’s worth investigating, but you’ll never explore your choices if you don’t know what they are. You can also usually get a lower interest rate for shorter term debts, which saves you even more money. Anytime you borrow any amount of money, the faster you can pay it off, the less you will pay total. Even if you don’t get a lower rate on the debt, if you pay off the principal sooner, that means there’s less interest compounding against you. When looking to borrow money, evaluate what term (length of time) works best for you and your budget. You want to minimize your cost of borrowing, but you also want to give yourself enough flexibility that you’re confident you will make all those payments on time, regardless of what life brings.

Question 5 - Bond prices and interest:

If interest rates rise, what will typically happen to bond prices?

A. They will fall
B. They will stay the same
C. They will rise

 
 
 

Answer: A, they will fall.

Explanation: This is the question most people get wrong. A bond is government or corporate debt. The government or company pays you coupons (interest payments) based on the issued interest rate. At the end of the bond’s life, it matures, and you get the principal back.

Imagine Disney issues bonds paying 5% interest, the current market rate. You purchase a bond for $1,000, and you get a $50 coupon payment from Mickey Mouse every year until the bond matures. If interest rates rise next year (say to 8%), and Disney issues new bonds, they will issue them at the new interest rate. Your neighbor Laura decides to buy $1,000, and she gets an $80 coupon from Mickey Mouse every year. Because interest rates rose, the value of your bond paying $50/month goes down in value, less than $1,000, because the $1,000 could buy Laura’s bond paying $80/month. The reverse if also true. If rates had fallen to 3%, Laura’s bond would only pay her $30, and your $50/month bond would be worth more than $1,000.

Why this matters: Interest rates change over time. This causes bond prices to change. Bonds will still be less volatile than equities, but they do also fluctuate in value. Don’t panic when you see interest rates rise, and your bond prices going down in value. This is both normal and expected. Rising interest rates are also usually a healthy sign for the economy, and so your equities will generally be rising in value to help offset the loss in value of your bonds. The reverse is also true here. Falling interest rates tend to indicate a less healthy economy (think about when rates have dropped significantly & quickly; the 07-08 financial crisis and COVID-19) which means falling stock prices. Because they don’t tend to move together (uncorrelated), bonds and stocks are an excellent pair for smoothing out your investment returns.

How did you do?

If you got some questions wrong, I hope you understand the why behind the answers and how to utilize this knowledge to better your financial life. If you have questions about financial vocabulary or systems you’d like me to blog about, please email me at andrewg@humaninvesting.com. If want to talk to an advisor, please email us at hi@humaninvesting.com.

 

 
 

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